Many horseplayers wager on famous races like the Dubai World Cup, Belmont Stakes, Kentucky Derby, and The Grand National. But some race tracks ban punters from betting on horses. In this article, we discuss six factors that you need to consider to be a professional horseplayer.
1. Time of the Year
Generally, many old handicappers win at specific times of the year. So, some trainers tend to win similar races in several seasons.
Horses have a high winning probability when they are in great form, and horse racing bookies give them a winning handicap. A trainer can take part in three prep races before a major race to reduce the handicap mark of their horse and improve their fitness.
At times, trainers like qualifying for lower handicap marks with young horses. They intentionally race at the wrong distance or claim that the horse isn’t fit to race.
They show more seriousness once they get the mark. Trainers transform horses to cover more distances.
2. The Trainer
Some horseplayers wager on horses from famous stables like AP O’Brien, Dan Skelton, Michael Appleby, and Willie Mullins. For instance, Mullins had 1015 runners and 223 winners in the last year.
It translates to a 22 percent strike rate. But, many runners are his favorites. He wagered 1 point on every Starting price (SP), and its cost would have been 212 points.
You have to pick odds that are over 4.56 if you want to earn a profit from each Mullins runner. The 223 winners averaged 3.60 odds.
3. Ground Extremities
Sports analysts advise amateurs to check changes like weather conditions on or before the race day. You can review past races to understand how ground extremities might affect each horse. Check their past runs. Research a horse’s parents runs on various grounds.
Bookies change odds whenever an extremity occurs. Also, they react to the amount of money punters stake on various horses.
For example, a heavy ground racer can have 10/1 on solid ground. Racebooks can assign them 7/1 odds on favored ground while their true odds might be 4/1 hence having a vast odds discrepancy.
4. Shift to Chasing
Some horses perform dismally as chasers. You need to consider specific factors while placing horse racing bets. A normal transition occurs when a horse shifts to hurdling from flat races.
They are often more cautious when shifting to bigger fences, especially old horses. It is trickier for them to jump high compared to young horses. Chasing entails jumping in a rhythm, and it requires ex flat horses to improve their fitness.
Some trainers like teaching young horses to switch codes or after a few hurdle races. It shows that they are comfortable at home and can improve up to 30 pounds chasing. Thus, the trainer can expose handicap marks that are carried from hurdling.
Horses that began racing in point-to-points can be chasers in the future. Generally, they would progress by P-2-P’s, 2-3 bumper races, a few hurdles, and shift to chasing. You can get a huge betting value when horses debut at chasing.
5. Dual Purpose Horses
Some horses take part in the national hunt and flat racing. They include flat-bred horses that cover moderate distances. At times, a runner can deteriorate or improve in the interim and switch between codes.
For example, in the previous jump season, if a horse was 100 over hurdles and later returned to the flat, it began with an existing handicap mark of 60. His racing improved to 80.
6. Stable Changes
Moving tables can positively or adversely affect a horse. Different stables like particular horse breeds. Many successful trainers sell horses that are below the required level.
Gamblers need to understand the basics of horse racing gambling to make a profit. It is prudent to consider the trainer, horse’s condition, and trainer when predicting who will win a certain race. You can use one account to wager on different horse races.
Head to our favorite pay per head bookie site at Real Bookies before the pick.